IMPACT OF EXPORTS ON ALGERIA’S BALANCE OF TRADE STANDARD STUDY 1991-2021
Keywords:
Exports, Trade Balance, Johansson cointegration method, Granger Causality Test, Normal Micro-square MethodAbstract
This study aims to illustrate the impact of exports on the Algerian trade balance for the period 1991-2021, using Johansson cointegration method, Granger causality test, and estimating the relationship according to the normal micro-square method.
The study revealed the existence of a long-term balance between the trade balance and exports, inflation and oil prices, and a lack of causal correlation between them in both directions, with a correlation between exports, oil prices and the trade balance; however, there is an inverse relationship between inflation and the trade balance which is consistent with the economic theories.
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