INVESTIGATING THE THE EFFECT OF BROAD MONEY SUPPLY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN ALGERIA: FRESH INSIGHTS FROM AUGMENTED LINEAR & NONLINEAR ARDL (1970-2021)

Authors

  • Dr. Imane Senouci Bereksi Higher School of Management –Tlemcen- Algeria
  • Dr. Manel Attouchi National Higher School of Tourism – Algiers - Algeria
  • Dr. Fatima Benbouziane Faculty of Economics , Business and Management, University of Tlemcen- Algeria

Keywords:

Money supply, Economic Growth, Augmented ARDL & NARDL, Algeria

Abstract

This study investigates the asymmetric Effect of Broad Money Supply Shocks on Economic Growth in Algeria using time-series data from 1970 to 2021. The study has employed a novel extension of ARDL which is Augmented ARDL & Augmented NARDL. The result reveals that adjustments in broad money supply influence Algeria’s economic growth asymmetrically in both short & long run. As a consequence, positive (negative) money supply shocks boost (decrease) the economic growth rates. These findings strongly imply that money is not neutral, and this could be regarded as a realization goal of monetary policy. While, even though the efforts made by policymakers to stimulate  high levels of economic growth, the aim of improvement is  also modest compared with other developing countries.

References

Ahmed, S. H., & Abtan, A. K. (2022). The impact of monetary variables on achieving economic growth-Bahrain as a model for the period (1995-2020). Tikrit Journal of Administrative and Economic Sciences, 18(58, 1), 329-340.

Aigheyisi, O. S., & Edore, J. E. (2019). Asymmetric Effects of Money Supply Growth on Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Empirical Investigation. Kardan Journal of Economics and Management Sciences, 2(3), 27-42.

Ayad, H., Sari-Hassoun, S. E., Usman, M., & Ahmad, P. (2023). The impact of economic uncertainty, economic growth and energy consumption on environmental degradation in MENA countries: Fresh insights from multiple thresholds NARDL approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 30(1), 1806-1824.

Benazza, I. (2022). Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Economic Growth in Algeria. An ARDL Approach, Algerian Review of Economic Development, Volume 09, Number 02 P357-368.

Goshit, GG, Jelilov, G., Iorember, PT, Celik, B., & Davd‐Wayas, OM (2022). Effets asymétriques des chocs de politique monétaire sur la croissance de la production au Nigéria : preuves tirées des tests de causalité non linéaires ARDL et Hatemi-J. Journal des affaires publiques , 22 (2), e2449.

Hazwan, H. (2019). Examining the relationship between fnance, institutions and economic growth: evidence from the ASEAN economies, Economic Change and Restructuring, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-019-09257-5

Joshi, UL (2022). L'impact de la politique monétaire sur la croissance économique au Népal : une analyse empirique. Journal de recherche international de MMC (IRJMMC) , 3 (3), 54-65.

Kriskkumar, K., Naseem, N. A. M., & Azman-Saini, W. N. W. (2022). Investigating the asymmetric effect of oil price on the economic growth in Malaysia: Applying augmented ARDL and nonlinear ARDL techniques. SAGE Open, 12(1), 21582440221079936.

Mathew, A.O (2021). Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in Nigeria. IANNA Journal of inter disciplinary studies 3(2) 12-24

McNown R, Sam CY, Goh SK (2018) Bootstrapping the autoregressive distributed lag test for cointegration. Appl Econ 50(13):1509–1521. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1080/ 00036 846. 2017. 13666 43.

Musa, I., Magaji, S. et Salisu, A. (2022). Les chocs de politique monétaire et la croissance économique : preuves tirées de la modélisation SVAR. Revue internationale des affaires indonésiennes , 1 (1), 1-11.

Mwange, A. (2022), « An Empirical Investigation of the Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth in Zambia », Journal of Accounting, Finance and Auditing Studies, s 8/4 (2022): 306-321

Narayan PK (2005) The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests. Appl Econ 37(17):1979–1990. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1080/ 00036 84050 02781 03.

Pesaran MH, Shin Y, Smith RJ (2001) Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. J Appl Economet 16(3):289–326. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1002/ jae. 616.

Razia, A., & Omarya, M. (2022). L'impact de la masse monétaire au sens large (M2) sur la croissance économique par habitant en Palestine. Revue internationale d'éthique des affaires et de gouvernance , 5 (2), 1-10.

Shafiu, I.A., Kamal, K.S. and Shuaibu, M. (2021). Monetary Variables, Economic Growth and Monetary Policy in Nigeria. Journal of advance studies in finance 12(2), 16-22

Shin Y, Yu B, Greenwood-Nimmo M (2014) Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. Festschrift in honor of Peter Schmidt. Springer, New York, pp 281–314. https:// doi. org/ 10. 1007/ 978-1- 4899- 8008-3_9.

Tolulope, A.O (2017). Asymmetry Effects of Monetary Policy shocks on Output in Nigeria: A Non-Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) Approach. Retrieved from https://2017.essa.org.za/fullpaper/essa_3452.pdf on 11 August 2019.

Downloads

Published

2024-03-28

How to Cite

Senouci Bereksi, D. I., Attouchi, D. M. ., & Benbouziane, D. F. (2024). INVESTIGATING THE THE EFFECT OF BROAD MONEY SUPPLY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN ALGERIA: FRESH INSIGHTS FROM AUGMENTED LINEAR & NONLINEAR ARDL (1970-2021). The Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business and Government, 30(1), 436–456. Retrieved from https://cibgp.com/au/index.php/1323-6903/article/view/2777