The Relationship between Macroeconomic Factors and Indian Stock Market
Keywords:
NSE, Stock market, Microeconomic, Inflations, GDP, Oil price, returnsAbstract
The main aim of the study to examine the impact of the macroeconomic variables i.e. inflation and exchange rate on the Indian stock market especially on National Stock Exchange (NSE) – Nifty 50 index, the data used for the period from 2010 to 2020 based on the secondary data collected from NSE official website to evaluate the relationship with inflation and exchange rate. Linear regression model was designed and used to evaluate whether independent variables i.e inflation, oil price and GDP growth rate has significant relationship on dependent variable stock market or not. The regression results of the study reveal that there is a statistical negative relationship between inflation and the Indian stock market and whereas, oil price and GDP growth rate has a statistically significant positive relationship on Indian stock market growth.
Downloads
References
Bhattacharya, B., & Mukherjee, J. (2003, January). Causal relationship between stock market and exchange rate, foreign exchange reserves and value of trade balance: A case study for India. In Fifth Annual Conference on Money and finance in the Indian economy.
Benaković, D., &Posedel, P. (2010). Do macroeconomic factors matter for stock returns? Evidence from estimating a multifactor model on the Croatian market. Business Systems Research: International Journal of the Society for Advancing Innovation and Research in Economy, 1(1–2), 39–46.
Chakravarty, S., &Mitra, A. (2010). Growth, Prices and Poverty. Journal of Modelling & Simulation of Systems, 1(4).235-251
Christiano, L., Ilut, C. L., Motto, R., &Rostagno, M. (2010). Monetary policy and stock market booms (No. w16402). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Geetha, C., Mohidin, R., Chandran, V. V., & Chong, V. (2011). The relationship between inflation and stock market: Evidence from Malaysia, United States and China. International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences, 1(2), 1–16.
Kandir, S. Y. (2008). Macroeconomic variables, firm characteristics and stock returns: Evidence from Turkey. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 16(1), 35–45.
Kibria, U., Mehmood, Y., Kamran, M., Arshad, M. U., Perveen, R., &Sajid, M. (2014). The impact of macroeconomic variables on stock market returns: A case of Pakistan. Research Journal of Management Sciences. ISSN, 2319, 1171.
Kessel, R. A. (1956). Inflation-caused wealth redistribution: A test of a hypothesis. The American Economic Review, 128-141.
Li, L., Narayan, P. K., & Zheng, X. (2010). An analysis of inflation and stock returns for the UK. Journal of international financial markets, institutions and money, 20(5), 519- 532.
Qamri, G. M., Haq, M. A. U., &Akram, F. (2015). The impact of inflation on stock prices: Evidence from Pakistan. Microeconomics and Macroeconomics, 3(4), 83– 88.
Singh, T., Mehta, S., &Varsha, M. S. (2011). Macroeconomic factors and stock returns: Evidence from Taiwan. Journal of Economics and International Finance, 3(4), 217–227.
Yahyazadehfar, M., &Babaie, A. (2012). Macroeconomic variables and stock price: new evidence from Iran. Middle-East Journal of Scientific Research, 11(4), 408- 415
Data Sources:
• Historical inflation data: https://www.inflation.eu
• Historical Oil price & GDP growth rate data: https://www.macrotrends.net
• National Stock Exchange data: https://finance.yahoo.com
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
You are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format for any purpose, even commercially.
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially.
- The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.
Under the following terms:
- Attribution — You must give appropriate credit , provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made . You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
- No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
Notices:
You do not have to comply with the license for elements of the material in the public domain or where your use is permitted by an applicable exception or limitation .
No warranties are given. The license may not give you all of the permissions necessary for your intended use. For example, other rights such as publicity, privacy, or moral rights may limit how you use the material.