The Dynamic Impact of Crude Oil Price and Real Estate Growth on Stock Market Performance
Keywords:
Crude oil price, real estate, stock market, MalaysiaAbstract
This paper examines the effect of crude oil price and real estate growth on Malaysian stock market performance by examining the monthly data from 1999-2016 using both linear and non- linear tests. These tests examine the long-run and short-run relationship among variables. Granger causality test is used to measure the short-run adjustments towards the long-run relationship among the variables. The results of Granger causality test indicates that a bidirectional relationship exists between stock market performance, crude oil price, real estate. In other words, there is a dynamic relationship among the stock market performance, crude oil and real estate.
Downloads
References
Al Janabi, M. A., Hatemi-J, A., & Irandoust, M. (2010). An empirical investigation of the informational efficiency of the GCC equity markets: evidence from bootstrap simulation. International Review of Financial Analysis, 19(1), 47-54.
Ambrose, B. W., Ancel, E., & Griffiths, M. D. (1992). The fractal structure of real estate investment trust returns: The search for evidence of market segmentation and nonlinear dependency. Real Estate Economics, 20(1), 25-54.
Apergis, N., & Miller, S. M. (2009). Do structural oil-market shocks affect stock prices? Energy economics, 31(4), 569-575.
Aromi, D., & Clements, A. (2019). Spillovers between the oil sector and the S&P500: The impact of information flow about crude oil. Energy Economics, 81, 187-196.
Arouri, M. E. H., & Rault, C. (2012). Oil prices and stock markets in GCC countries: empirical evidence from panel analysis. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 17(3), 242- 253.
Babatunde, M. A., Adenikinju, O., & Adenikinju, A. F. (2013). Oil price shocks and stock market behaviour in Nigeria. Journal of Economic Studies.
Chen, N. F., Roll, R., & Ross, S. A. (1986). Economic forces and the stock market. Journal of business, 383-403.
Ciner, C. (2001). Energy shocks and financial markets: nonlinear linkages. Studies in nonlinear dynamics and econometrics, 5(3), 203-212.
Du, H., & Ma, Y. (2012). Corporate Real Estate, Capital Structure and Stock Performance: Evidence from China. International Real Estate Review, 15(1), 107-126.
El-Sharif, I., Brown, D., Burton, B., Nixon, B., & Russell, A. (2005). Evidence on the nature and extent of the relationship between oil prices and equity values in the UK. Energy Economics, 27(6), 819-830.
Gavin, M. (1989). The stock market and exchange rate dynamics. Journal of international money and finance, 8(2), 181-200.
Geltner, D. (1990). Return risk and cash flow risk with long‐term riskless leases in commercial real estate. Real Estate Economics, 18(4), 377-402.
Ghouri, S. S. (2006). Assessment of the relationship between oil prices and US oil stocks.
Energy policy, 34(17), 3327-3333.
Gjerde, Ø., & Saettem, F. (1999). Causal relations among stock returns and macroeconomic variables in a small, open economy. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 9(1), 61-74.
Gogolin, F., Kearney, F., Lucey, B. M., Peat, M., & Vigne, S. A. (2018). Uncovering long term relationships between oil prices and the economy: a time-varying cointegration analysis. Energy Economics, 76, 584-593.
Gong, X., & Lin, B. (2017). Forecasting the good and bad uncertainties of crude oil prices using a HAR framework. Energy Economics, 67, 315-327.
Goodman, A. C. (1978). Hedonic prices, price indices and housing markets. Journal of urban economics, 5(4), 471-484.
Graham, J. E., Galbraith, C., & Stiles, C. (2014). Real estate ownership and closely-held firm value. Journal of Property Investment & Finance.
Grigoli, F., Herman, A., & Swiston, A. (2019). A crude shock: Explaining the short-run impact of the 2014–16 oil price decline across exporters. Energy Economics, 78, 481-493.
Gu, R., Chen, H., & Wang, Y. (2010). Multifractal analysis on international crude oil markets based on the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 389(14), 2805-2815.
Gyourko, J., & Keim, D. B. (1992). What does the stock market tell us about real estate returns?.
Real Estate Economics, 20(3), 457-485.
Hamilton, J. D. (1983). Oil and the macroeconomy since World War II. Journal of political economy, 91(2), 228-248.
Hammoudeh, S., & Li, H. (2005). Oil sensitivity and systematic risk in oil-sensitive stock indices. Journal of Economics and Business, 57(1), 1-21.
Henriques, I., & Sadorsky, P. (2008). Oil prices and the stock prices of alternative energy companies. Energy Economics, 30(3), 998-1010.
Huang, R. D., Masulis, R. W., & Stoll, H. R. (1996). Energy shocks and financial markets. The Journal of Futures Markets (1986-1998), 16(1), 1.
Iqbal and T Mallikarjunappa, (2010), “A Study of Efficiency of The Indian Stock Market”, Indian Journal Of Finance, Vol.4, No. 5, pp.32-38
Iqbal, J., Brooks, R., & Galagedera, D. U. (2010). Testing conditional asset pricing models: An emerging market perspective. Journal of International Money and Finance, 29(5), 897- 918.
Liow, K. H., & Ooi, J. T. (2004). Does corporate real estate create wealth for shareholders?.
Journal of Property Investment & Finance.
Liow, K. H., & Schindler, F. (2011). An assessment of the relationship between public real estate markets and stock markets at the local, regional, and global levels. ZEW-Centre for European Economic Research Discussion Paper, (11-056).
Liow, K. H., & Yang, H. (2005). Long-term co-memories and short-run adjustment: securitized real estate and stock markets. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 31(3), 283-300.
Liu, C. H., Hartzell, D. J., Greig, W., & Grissom, T. V. (1990). The integration of the real estate market and the stock market: some preliminary evidence. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 3(3), 261-282.
Maghyereh, A. (2004). The effect of financial liberalization on the efficiency of financial institutions: the case of Jordanian commercial banks. Journal of Transnational Management Development, 9(2-3), 71-106.
Masoud, N. M. (2013). The impact of stock market performance upon economic growth.
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 3(4), 788.
Miles, M., Cole, R., & Guilkey, D. (1990). A different look at commercial real estate returns.
Real Estate Economics, 18(4), 403-430.
Miller, N., Peng, L., & Sklarz, M. (2011). House prices and economic growth. The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 42(4), 522-541.
Mohaddes, K., & Pesaran, M. H. (2017). Oil prices and the global economy: Is it different this time around?. Energy Economics, 65, 315-325.
Nasir, M. A., Naidoo, L., Shahbaz, M., & Amoo, N. (2018). Implications of oil prices shocks for the major emerging economies: A comparative analysis of BRICS. Energy Economics, 76, 76-88.
Nneji, O., Brooks, C., & Ward, C. W. (2013). House price dynamics and their reaction to macroeconomic changes. Economic Modelling, 32, 172-178.
Ojikutu, O. T. (2017). Crude oil price volatility and its impact on Nigerian stock market performance (1985-2014).
Park, J., & Ratti, R. A. (2008). Oil price shocks and stock markets in the US and 13 European countries. Energy economics, 30(5), 2587-2608.
Sadorsky, P. (1999). Oil price shocks and stock market activity. Energy economics, 21(5), 449- 469.
San Ong, T. (2013). Factors affecting the price of housing in Malaysia. J. Emerg. Issues Econ.
Financ. Bank, 1, 414-429.
Schmalz, M. C., Sraer, D. A., & Thesmar, D. (2017). Housing collateral and entrepreneurship.
The Journal of Finance, 72(1), 99-132.
Schnare, A. B., & Struyk, R. J. (1976). Segmentation in urban housing markets. Journal of Urban Economics, 3(2), 146-166.
Smeets, H. D., & Cüppers, L. (2015). Informationsfunktion und Regulierung von Ratingagenturen. WiSt-Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, 44(1), 23-29.
Ulusoy, V. (2018). The impact of oil price volatility to oil and gas company stock returns and emerging economies.
Wei, Y., & Guo, X. (2016). An empirical analysis of the relationship between oil prices and the Chinese macro-economy. Energy Economics, 56, 88-100.
Wen, F., Gong, X., & Cai, S. (2016). Forecasting the volatility of crude oil futures using HAR- type models with structural breaks. Energy Economics, 59, 400-413.
Zhao, L., Zhang, X., Wang, S., & Xu, S. (2016). The effects of oil price shocks on output and inflation in China. Energy Economics, 53, 101-110.
Zhu, H. M., Li, R., & Li, S. (2014). Modelling dynamic dependence between crude oil prices and Asia-Pacific stock market returns. International Review of Economics & Finance, 29, 208-223.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
You are free to:
- Share — copy and redistribute the material in any medium or format for any purpose, even commercially.
- Adapt — remix, transform, and build upon the material for any purpose, even commercially.
- The licensor cannot revoke these freedoms as long as you follow the license terms.
Under the following terms:
- Attribution — You must give appropriate credit , provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made . You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.
- No additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.
Notices:
You do not have to comply with the license for elements of the material in the public domain or where your use is permitted by an applicable exception or limitation .
No warranties are given. The license may not give you all of the permissions necessary for your intended use. For example, other rights such as publicity, privacy, or moral rights may limit how you use the material.