EFFECT OF HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH AND PRODUCTIVITY: A SIMULATION APPROACH
Journal of Contemporary Issues in Business and Government,
2022, Volume 28, Issue 3, Pages 949-963
Abstract
The study investigates the dynamiceffects of incomeon a new cohort oflabor force byusing realdemography in order to increase investment on human capital. The study constructed three
scenarios such as baseline, typical, and optimistic.In the baseline scenarios,the rate of human
capital investment,which is observed in 2020 remains constant in 2060,whereas, typical and
optimistic scenarios,the rate of human capital increased for each country to median and 75th
percentile.The study computes result for each country separately for 40 years into the future,
from 2020 to 2060, then average out the findings throughout the complete sample, which the
study refers to as the world. Theglobal human capital per worker is computed in absolute terms.
In base case scenario, where investment on human capital remain unchanged, the human capital
per worker increases in the next four decades, primarily due to demographic changes. Human
capital per worker grows somewhere under typical and optimistic scenarios, from around 1.13 to
1.62 and 1.20 to 1.729, respectively. While human capital expands under 50th and 75th percentile
from 0.59 to 0.62 and 0.63 to 0.66 respectively.
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