The journal of contemporary issues in business and government

CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET DYNAMICS AROUND BITCOIN FUTURES EXPIRATION EVENTS

Radovan Vojtko — 2024-07-12

In the rapidly evolving landscape of cryptocurrency markets, understanding the underlying dynamics that drive price movements and investor sentiment can be a matter of survival. However, there are myriad facets of trading reality, and the only thing that we can do is to slowly understand them one after another, one step at a time. This article picks one corner of the cryptocurrency market and sheds a little light on it. We have already written a few times about the importance of the introduction of Bitcoin futures and their impact on the Bitcoin price. Therefore, in this article, we will specifically examine Bitcoin’s behavior around the critical events when Bitcoin futures expire.

THE IMPACT ASSESSMENT OF CRUDE OIL PRICE VOLATILITY ON THE LABOR MARKET: A CASE STUDY OF GABON FOR THE PERIOD (1990-2022)

Esam Hadi Al- Salhi — 2024-07-20

This research explores the dynamic relationship between crude oil price fluctuations and their impact on the labor market, particularly unemployment rates in Gabon during the period 1990-2022. As a country heavily reliant on oil exports, Gabon faces economic vulnerabilities due to uncertainties inherent in global oil markets. The study employs a comprehensive approach encompassing theoretical frameworks, methodologies, and empirical analyses to understand the intricate links between crude oil prices, foreign direct investment, economic growth, and unemployment. The study utilizes the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to explore short- and long-run dynamics of the variables under consideration.

The empirical results shed light on a long-term positive relationship between crude oil prices and unemployment attributed to the Dutch Disease phenomenon. It is acknowledged that the impact of foreign direct investment on unemployment is multifaceted, influenced by sectoral focus, technological adoption, and economic diversification. Economic growth initially correlates with a decrease in unemployment rates in the short run but exhibits asymmetric effects over time.

Diagnostic tests confirm the model's reliability with insignificant serial correlation and residue homoscedasticity. Stability tests validate the consistency of data relationships, confirming the enduring relationships between variables

RESEARCH ON THE LINKAGE OF DIGITAL MONEY MARKET: EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS BASED ON GRANGER CAUSALITY TEST AND VARIANCE DECOMPOSITION

Fateh Saci — 2024-07-26

Based on the close price data of the main nine currency pairs in the digital money market in the period between 2018 and 2020, the linkage relationship between the nine currency pairs' price changes has been empirically studied. The impact of BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT on the volatility of other currencies is analyzed using Pearson correlation coefficient, Granger causality test and variance decomposition. The results show that the price change of BTCUSDT is the reason for the price change of all other currencies. The fluctuation change of BTCUSDT can be explained by its own fluctuation. The fluctuation of other currencies has little contribution on the fluctuation of BTCUSDT. Among the contributions made on the overall market volatility, BTC's impact on market volatility is higher than ETH's impact on market volatility. XRP volatility can be explained by its own volatility, and its currency trend is quite different from that of other currencies.